• Endogeneity in Stochastic Frontier Models 

      Amsler, Christine; Artem, Prokhorov; Peter, Schmidt
      Published 2015-02-17
      Stochastic frontier models are typically estimated by maximum likelihood (MLE) orcorrected ordinary least squares. The consistency of either estimator depends on exogeneity of the explanatory variables (inputs, in the ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Forecasting risk via realized GARCH, incorporating the realized range 

      Richard, Gerlach; Chao, Wang
      Published 2014-11-07
      The realized GARCH framework is extended to incorporate the realized range, and the intra-day range, as potentially more efficient series of information than re- alized variance or daily returns, for the purpose of volatility ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Bayesian Tail Risk Forecasting using Realised GARCH 

      Contino, Christian; Gerlach, Richard
      Published 2014-10-10
      A Realised Volatility GARCH model is developed within a Bayesian framework for the purpose of forecasting Value at Risk and Conditional Value at Risk. Student-t and Skewed Student-t return distributions are combined with ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Bayesian Assessment of Dynamic Quantile Forecasts 

      Gerlach, Richard; Chen, Cathy W.S.; Lin, Edward M.H.
      Published 2014-09-10
      Methods for Bayesian testing and assessment of dynamic quantile forecasts are proposed. Specifically, Bayes factor analogues of popular frequentist tests for independence of violations from, and for correct coverage of a ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Consistent Estimation of Linear Regression Models Using Matched Data 

      Prokhorov, Artem; Hirukawa, Masayuki
      Published 2014-09-05
      Economists often use matched samples, especially when dealing with earnings data where a number of missing observations need to be imputed. In this paper, we demonstrate that the ordinary least squares estimator of the ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper