• Moment Redundancy Test with Application to Efficiency-Improving Copulas 

      Hao, Bowen; Prokhorov, Artem; Qian, Hailong
      Published 2019-03-25
      Moment redundancy as defined by Breusch et al. (1999) is a testable hypothesis. We propose a simple test of the hypothesis in the context of copula-based pseudo-maximum likelihood estimation considered by Prokhorov and ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • A New Family of Copulas, with Application to Estimation of a Production Frontier System 

      Amsler, Christine; Prokhorov, Artem; Schmidt, Peter
      Published 2019-03-25
      In this paper we propose a new family of copulas for which the copula arguments are uncorrelated but dependent. Specifically, if w1 and w2 are the uniform random variables in the copula, they are uncorrelated, but w1 is ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Equivalence of optimal forecast combinations under affine constraints 

      Chan, Felix; Pauwels, Laurent
      Published 2019-03-19
      Forecasts are usually produced from models and expert judgements. The reconciliation of different forecasts presents an interesting challenge for managerial decisions. Mean absolute deviations and mean squared errors scoring ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Asymptotic Theory for Rotated Multivariate GARCH Models 

      Asai, Manabu; Chang, Chia-Lin; McAleer, Michael; Pauwels, Laurent
      Published 2019-03-20
      In this paper, we derive the statistical properties of a two step approach to estimating multivariate GARCH rotated BEKK (RBEKK) models. By the definition of rotated BEKK, we estimate the unconditional covariance matrix ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper
    • Higher Moment Constraints for Predictive Density Combinations 

      Pauwels, Laurent; Radchenko, Peter; Vasnev, Andrey
      Published 2019-03-19
      The majority of financial data exhibit asymmetry and heavy tails, which makes forecasting the entire density critically important. Recently, a forecast combina- tion methodology has been developed to combine predictive ...
      Open Access
      Working Paper