School of Economics: Recent submissions
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Does the Survey of Professional Forecasters help predict the shape of recessions in real time?
Published 2023An updated version of our Markov-switching model of U.S. real GDP suggests the COVID-19 recession was more U-shaped than L-shaped. As with linear time series models, it is important to account for extreme outliers during ...Article -
Quarterly data for examining water market functionality in the sMDB
Published 2023-08-30This dataset provides quarterly statistics generated based on transactional level water trading data for key trading zones in the sMDB. All market transaction data were sourced from NSW and VIC state water registers. Ratios ...Dataset -
Monetary Policy and Inequality in Australia
Published 2022Australia has experienced growing income and consumption inequality over the past three decades. As interest rates rise, it is important to understand the impact of monetary policy on household income and consumption. This ...Thesis -
Financialisation and Income Distribution in Australia: Theory and Evidence
Published 2023-02-24While rising income inequality and financialisation are widely recognised as prominent features of advanced capitalist economies, theoretical explanations of these phenomena, and how they interact, have varied significantly. ...Thesis -
Estimating the euro area output gap using multivariate information and addressing the COVID-19 pandemic
Published 2023We estimate the euro area output gap by applying the Beveridge–Nelson decomposition based on a large Bayesian vector autoregression. Our approach incorporates multivariate information through the inclusion of a wide range ...Article