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Faculty of Science: Recent submissions

    • A case study in model failure? COVID-19 daily deaths and ICU bed utilisation predictions in New York state 

      Chin, Vincent; Samia, Noelle I.; Marchant, Roman; Rosen, Ori; Ioannidis, John P. A.; Tanner, Martin A.; Cripps, Sally
      Published 2020
      Forecasting models have been influential in shaping decision-making in the COVID-19 pandemic. However, there is concern that their predictions may have been misleading. Here, we dissect the predictions made by four models ...
      Article
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    • The Role of Climate During the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia 

      Ward, Michael; Xiao, Shuang; Zhang, Zhijie
      Published 2020
      Previous research has identified a relationship between climate and occurrence of SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV cases, information that can be used to reduce the risk of infection. Using COVID-19 notification and postcode data ...
      Preprint
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    • Variants in the host genome may inhibit tumour growth in devil facial tumours: evidence from genome-wide association 

      Wright, Belinda; Willet, Cali E.; Hamede, Rodrigo; Jones, Menna; Belov, Katherine; Wade, Claire M.
      Published 2017-01-01
      Devil facial tumour disease (DFTD) has decimated wild populations of Tasmanian devils (Sarcophilus harrisii) due to its ability to avoid immune detection and pass from host to host by biting. A small number of devils have ...
      Open Access
      Article
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    • Are any populations ‘safe’? Unexpected reproductive decline in a population of Tasmanian devils free of devil facial tumour disease 

      Farquharson, K. A.; Gooley, R.M.; Fox, S.; Huxtable, S.J.; Belov, Katherine; Pemberton, D.; Hogg, C.J.; Grueber, C.E.
      Published 2018-01-01
      Context. Conservation management relies on baseline demographic data of natural populations. For Tasmanian devils (Sarcophilus harrisii), threatened in the wild by two fatal and transmissible cancers (devil facial tumour ...
      Article
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    • No evidence of inbreeding depression in a Tasmanian devil insurance population despite significant variation in inbreeding 

      Gooley, Rebecca; Hogg, Carolyn J.; Belov, Katherine; Grueber, Catherine E
      Published 2017-01-01
      Inbreeding depression occurs when inbred individuals experience reduced fitness as a result of reduced genome-wide heterozygosity. The Tasmanian devil faces extinction due to a contagious cancer, devil facial tumour disease ...
      Open Access
      Article
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