Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://hdl.handle.net/2123/2234

Title: A deconstruction of Cox’s proportional hazards model and an inquiry into its ability to predict the outcome of Chapter 11 bankruptcy proceedings
Authors: Hoi Fung Ng, Calvin
Discipline of Finance
Keywords: Chapter 11, Cox’s proportional hazards model,
Issue Date: 21-Feb-2008
Abstract: Set against the backdrop of Chapter 11 proceedings in the United States, a specification of Cox’s proportional hazards model proposed by Partington, Stevenson, Russel and Torbey (2001) was examined for its stability over time. Faced with findings of instability consistent with those of Wong, Partington, Stevenson and Torbey (2007), the model was respecified to only include two firm-specific covariates (capturing firm size and earnings) and a time-dependent market-wide covariate. A ‘calendar-time model’ was then introduced to enable analysis of the firm-specific covariates in abstraction from the systematic effects of time. With such effects controlled for, the suggestion was made that any remnant instability in the model was a result of non-systematic factors reflecting the changing nature of firms which filed for Chapter 11 protection during the period examined.
URI: http://hdl.handle.net/2123/2234
Department/Unit/Centre: Discipline of Finance
Appears in Collections:Honours Theses

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